So its looking like Pat “The Cope” Gallagher will be elected to the European Parliament at some point tonight or tomorrow morning which means he will not be voting on the motion of no confidence in the Dáil. It also means that there will be another bye-election this year. This time it takes place in Donegal South West.
Donegal South West is a 3 seat constituency. In the General Election in 2004 the results were like this (from Electionsireland.org)
As you can see it was Sinn Fein that lost out to Fine Gael back in 2004. This time round Pearse Doherty is a Senator. He will be a high profile candidate for Sinn Fein and the obvious choice for the Bye-Election. Fianna Fail will find it impossible to hang on to the seat here in the bye-election unless they can parachute in a candidate. Same goes for Fine Gael and Labour. Though Labour have a candidate on the ground in Seamus Rodgers but he came no where near being elected having only 0.11 of a quota.
I think it is nearly a foregone conclusion baring some sort of celebrity candidate that Sinn Fein will win the Donegal South West bye-election.