The Next Election

Irish President Mary McAleese's entourage
Image via Wikipedia

The next nationw-wide election we are due to have in Ireland is (barring a sudden General Election) is a Presidential Election. This is due at the latest October 2010 2011, but I have a feeling President Mary McAlees will finish out her term. To run for President you need to be a citizen of the states, over 35 and nominated in one of the following ways:

  • by 20 members of the Oireachtas
  • by four county or city councils
  • or if an incumbent or former president if you served one term, you can nominate yourself

Fianna Fail, Fine Gael, and Labour can each nominate on members of Oireachtas alone. There is a possibility of a Green/Ind candidate as they would have 21 members if they all backed one candidate.

Of course we hear many rumours about who will run and that, but here are what I have heard and a few predictions

Fianna Fail

There is no secret here that at Senator Mary White and MEP Brian Crowley both want the nomination. There is always talk of former Taoiseach Bertie Ahern running but I don’t see him getting many votes outside of Dublin. I think Crowley will be the Fianna Fail Nominee.

Fine Gael

In contrast to Fianna Fail, the Fine Gael crowd dont seem to want to rock the boat. The names I have heard mentioned are Avril Doyle, Mairead McGuinness and Sean Kelly. All current or former MEP’s. I am not sure who the nominee could be. I’m thinking it could be Kelly vs McGuinness for the nomination.

Labour Party

Micheal D Higgins name normally features in these discussions, but age this time could work against him. Ruairi Quinn, who didnt get elected as Ceann Comhairle, could try and run for the presidency instead. Ivana Bacik also could be the nominee hoping to follow in Mary Robinsons footsteps. Of course Labour could try and get someone from the SDLP in the Noth to run, like Bríd Rogers. I’m putting my money on Bacik though.

Sinn Fein

As this term of office will include the centenary of 1916, Sinn Fein would love to hold the highest office in land. Gerry Adams, Mary Lou McDonald and Michelle Gildernew have all been mentioned as possible candidates. As there is a bit of rift in the party between North and South at the moment, the South might prefer to have Mary Lou as the nominee.

Green Party

Eamon Ryan wanted to run last time round, will he try to run again? Can’t really think of anyone else from the Green ranks.

Independents

Dana Rosemary Scanlon could try and run again for the Presidency. I wouldn’t put it past Kathy Sinnott to give it a run. David Norris probably wont run, but it would be great if he did. Mary Robinson could of course run again as she only served one term.

2010 2011 will be an interesting election. I wonder will I have gotten many right?

In the betting stakes according to Paddy Power, Bertie Ahern is favourite to be the Next Irish President at 2/1, he is followed by Brian Crowley at 4/1. Check out the rest!

Reblog this post [with Zemanta]

Author: Stephen

Cork born and bred, proud European and Irishman. Involved in many organisations and politics. Also writes for SpirtualityIreland.org and UCC Express.

14 thoughts on “The Next Election”

  1. Stephen, I hardly ever engage in online political debate or punditry, so you are to be complimentated for taking me out of my shell. Whatever about an Independent Presidential candidate with smaller party support, the capacity for the Green Party or Sinn Fein to even nominate their own candidate is nill. John Bruton would be an excellent Fine Gael candidate for President, but also a deeply reluctant one. It is very possible you could see an MEP dominated contest; Crowley for FF, McGuinness for FG, and Nessa Childers for Labour.

    1. I forgot about Childers!! thanks for that Sean! Glad I got you out of your shell on punditry! 🙂

      A battle of the MEP’s could be very interesting!

  2. Not endorsing Crowley, and perhaps and argument for John Bruton from an FG perspective, but it is surely time for a man back in the Aras! I even see Paddy Power are taking bets on Dr. Martin McAleese, something like 66/1, surely worth a fiver?

    1. I saw that too, but they are also taking bets on Michael O’Leary and Bono! Bruton would be a great President, we need a draft Bruton campaign! 😉

  3. Sean Kelly is a former teacher of mine and it would be quiet sureal to see him moving from shouting at me as a young fella to sitting up in Aras an Uactharan as president! Priceless. Not to sure he’d get the votes to be honest though.
    If Dana got the presidency I wouldn’t be too happy but I suspect that her move into main stream media circles since the last time she ran in the election was in essence a move to make herself more well known with the public. And boost her chances of elections. Please Ireland, don’t do it!

    1. Dana is only a possibility at the moment, can’t see many independents running to be honest (Apart from Grannymar!). There will be about 3 candidates (maximum 4) running I would say. The less candidates the more interesting it will be.

  4. We all know that to be president these days, you have to be called Mary:

    FF – Sen Mary White/Mary O’Rourke/Mary Hanafin/Mary Coughlan/Mary Wallace
    FG – Mairead McGuinness (close enough to Mary I guess)
    Lab- Mary Upton
    Grn – Mary White
    SF – Mary Lou McDonald.

  5. Stephen,

    What’s with the ‘2010’ crossed out and replaced by ‘2011’.
    Such attempts to be slightly witty, mixed with simple indecision are annoying.

    Another example of this, would be when people put in totally unnecessary information in brackets when writing an article or something, as follows: “Another problem in Haiti is leadership (or lack therof)”. That one is for the small, supposedly witty attack alone.

    Good piece otherwise.

    PL

    1. Peter, The reason the 2010 is crossed out is that is what I orginally wrote. After my mistake was pointed out on twitter or facebook I edited it. There was no attempt to be witty. Just acknowleging a mistake.

Leave a Reply