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As promised yesterday, here are some predictions for the US Midterms.
Senate
In the senate the Republicans need to win 10 seats to gain control of senate. I think they will pick up 12 seats including: Nevada, Florida and Illinois. I think Fiorina will just lose out to Boxer in California, but I am hoping to be wrong on that one!
House
In the House I think the Republicans will end up with between 225 and 235 seats. This could be conservative, but the house is a lot harder to predict.
Govenor
In the various races for the Statehouses, California returning to Democratic control is a foregone conclusion. I think Illinois and Ohio will go Republican. I think Lincoln Chafe (ind) will win in Rhode Island.
Have you any predictions to share?
Related articles
- US Midterm Elections (stephenspillane.com)
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- So, What Are you “Ballsy” Electoral Predictions? (gaypatriot.net)
Where are you getting 12? They’ll get 11 if everything goes their way: AR, IL, NV, ND, IN, CO, PA, WI, WA, WV and CA. They already have Florida. And I’d say eight, with Washington, California and West Virginia staying blue. Though in the last of those, Manchin could well be a procedural Democrat only.
Im not exactly sure where I got 12. But I think it was from this page: http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/results/senate/big-board
I think they will win: Alaska, Ark, Fla, Ind, Ky, La, Mo, N.H., Ohio and Wis.
Thats ten plus, two of the following: Colo, Ill, Nev, Pa and Wash.
I hope that makes sense