The polls are coming fast and furious this month. Red C have a poll in tomorrows Irish Business Post. The top line figures are as follows:
- Fine Gael 34% (+1)
- Labour 23% (-4)
- Fianna Fail 17% (nc)
- Sinn Fein 14% (+3)
- Greens 2% (-1)
- Others 10% (+2)
As usual Adrian Kavanagh of PoliticalReform.ie has translated this into possible seats and comes up with the following:
- Fine Gael 66
- Labour 46
- Fianna Fail 27
- Sinn Fein 25
- Greens 0
- Others 12 (5 for United Left Candidates)
With both Red C and Ipsos MRBI showing Fianna Fail on 17%, bells must be ringing on Lower Mount Street. I wonder can we expect to see more senior resignations from Fianna Fail before the election?
Labour do seem to be losing votes, mainly to Sinn Fein, but I assume the United Left Alliance is picking up a number of these votes also.
The next Dáil will probably a very different one to the one we see now. It will have a significantly weakened Fianna Fail who will be without some of their most senior and influential figures through retirements and some election losses and it will probably have the largest number of left wingers it has ever seen!
Interesting times ahead. I wonder will the new year bring about a change of luck for Fianna Fail?
- Irish Times Poll: December (stephenspillane.com)
- Red C Poll: October (stephenspillane.com)
- Latest Red C Poll: The end of Fianna Fail? (stephenspillane.com)
- Can you predict the 31st Dáil? (stephenspillane.com)
- A poll, another poll… (cedarlounge.wordpress.com)
- Sinn Fein surge taking ground from Labour in a volatile electorate… (sluggerotoole.com)