Sunday Business Post\Red C 13th Feb

FG sets out extensive plan to tackle jobs cris...
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A new poll has been published in today’s Sunday Business Post by Red C. It shows that Fine Gael is +3% on last weeks at 38% showing that Enda’s non appearance on Tuesday night has not hurt him at all. The poll was done on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday should take good account of the Debate.

Crucially Fianna Fail are down 2% to 15% showing a further deterioation in their support and nearly shows very little hope of a recovery for them. Labour also drop down 2% to 20%, which shows that maybe Tuesday’s debate damaged both parties and that their was no winner, just two losers?

The topline figures are as follows:

  • Fianna Fail 15% (-2)
  • Fine Gael 38% (+3)
  • Labour 20% (-2)
  • Green Party 3% (+1)
  • Sinn Fein 10 (-3%)
  • Others/Independents 14% (+3)

According to Adrian Kavanagh this would translate to seats as follows:

  • Fianna Fail 20
  • Fine Gael 76
  • Labour 38
  • Green Party 0
  • Sinn Fein 12
  • Others/Independents 20

Thats a lot of independents. The Independents grouping would be made up of 11 “left” independents (including 6 ULA) and 9 “right” independents. This means three possible Governments:

  • Fine Gael – Labour
  • Fine Gael – Fianna Fail (Minority Government)
  • Fine Gael – Independent

Its interesting that with about two weeks to go that momentum is building behind the Kenny Krusade. Is a Fine Gael overall majority a possibility?

The Poll of Polls which has been running since the 2nd of Feb has the following figures:

  • Fianna Fail 16.2
  • Fine Gael 34.6
  • Labour 21.6
  • Green Party 2
  • Sinn Fein 12
  • Independents 13.2

Author: Stephen

Cork born and bred, proud European and Irishman. Involved in many organisations and politics. Also writes for SpirtualityIreland.org and UCC Express.

3 thoughts on “Sunday Business Post\Red C 13th Feb”

  1. “The Independents grouping would be made up of 11 “left” independents (including 6 ULA) and 9 “right” independents.”

    So, where have you decided to place the 20 New Vision candidates in your (cold war inspired?) left/right analysis ? If you agree with separating the Irish States debt from that of the banks, will I assume that you call this ‘Left wing’. While those that were responsible for the economic rape of our Country are probably ‘right wing’ ?

    It about time you wise’d up to the fact that this type of lazy stereotyping serves nobody except those journalists who have some bizarre need to put everyone into a little box presumably so that the rest of us mere mortals can understand.

    There, I said it.

    1. Well Mr Blaney. If you clicked the link you would see I was not the one that designated those into right and left Independents. You could call me lazy if you wanted to, but as a blogger with a job and a college course I do not have the time nor willingness to delve into the intricacies of whether a candidate is “left” or “right”, it is why the quotations marks were used.

      I would be surprised if you were elected if you acted like this with the ordinary voters.

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