Sunday Business Post/Red C Poll and Sunday Independent/Milward Brown Poll 20th February

Election Posters

Two polls today! Its like christmas!

Sunday Business Post/Red C Poll

Its five days to polling day and the Sunday Business Post have their last opinion poll of the campaign. The headline figures are as follows:

  • Fianna Fail 16% (+1)
  • Fine Gael 39% (+1)
  • Labour 17% (-3)
  • Greens 2% (-1)
  • Sinn Fein 12% (+2)
  • Independents 14% (NC)

This poll shows some recovery for Fianna Fail and another advance for Fine Gael who are really approaching 40% and possible overall majority. This poll really shows that Labour are floundering. They haven’t hit home with their attacks and are driving people away.

The seats prediction by Adrian Kavanagh is as follows:

  • Fianna Fail 25
  • Fine Gael 78
  • Labour 31
  • Greens 0
  • Sinn Fein 13
  • Others 19

Sunday Independent/Milward Brown Poll

The second poll in the Sunday Independent has topline figures as follows:

  • Fianna Fail 16% (+4)
  • Fine Gael 37% (-1)
  • Labour 20% (+3)
  • Greens 1% (nc)
  • Sinn Fein 12% (+2)
  • Independents 14 (+2)

There is a surprising amount of similarities between the polls. Granted the Sindo do show Fine Gael down, its only by 1%. But the Sindo also show that Labour is in trouble. I have a feeling there will be a lot of soul searching in Labour HQ today and tomorrow. Fianna Fail look set to stay at 16% and I would be surprised if that changed much in the next 5 days.

The seat predictions are as follows:

  • Fianna Fail 23
  • Fine Gael 75
  • Labour 36
  • Greens 0
  • Sinn Fein 13
  • Others 19

Poll of Polls

With the addition of these two polls, the rough poll of polls stands as follows:

  • Fianna Fail 16%
  • Fine Gael 36%
  • Labour 21%
  • Greens 2%
  • Sinn Fein 11.5%
  • Independents 14%

Author: Stephen

Cork born and bred, proud European and Irishman. Involved in many organisations and politics. Also writes for SpirtualityIreland.org and UCC Express.

2 thoughts on “Sunday Business Post/Red C Poll and Sunday Independent/Milward Brown Poll 20th February”

Leave a Reply