Pollwatch: Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI April 19th

There is a poll in today’s Irish Times by Ipsos MRBI on the upcoming referendum on Fiscal Compact. The headline figures are

  • Yes: 30%
  • No: 23%
  • Undecided: 39%
  • Not voting: 8%

When the undecideds and those not voting are excluded it buts the sides on the following:

  • Yes: 58%
  • No: 42%

Interestingly Fine Gael voters are the strongest supporters of the treaty with 54% in favour. There is 9% against and 34% undecided.

Fianna Fail voters are next strongest supporters with 41% saying they will vote Yes, 20% No and 36% undecided.

Labour Party have the most undecideds and is behind Fine Gael and Fianna Fail in terms of voters who will back the treaty. 33% in favour of the treaty, 17% against and 46% undecided.

The No vote have the strongest support from Sinn Fein supporters and supporters of small parties and independents with 48% intending to vote No, 12% Yes and 33% undecided.

Munster has the highest Yes vote and Connacht-Ulster the most against. Dublin is neck and neck between the two sides meaning that the treaty could be won or lost in Dublin.

This campaign is going to be a massive task in convincing the undecideds and neither side can be complacent on their support. With the polling Day on a Thursday it will be a case of trying to get out as many voters as possible.

Author: Stephen

Cork born and bred, proud European and Irishman. Involved in many organisations and politics. Also writes for SpirtualityIreland.org and UCC Express.

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