- Yes: 30%
- No: 23%
- Undecided: 39%
- Not voting: 8%
When the undecideds and those not voting are excluded it buts the sides on the following:
- Yes: 58%
- No: 42%
Interestingly Fine Gael voters are the strongest supporters of the treaty with 54% in favour. There is 9% against and 34% undecided.
Fianna Fail voters are next strongest supporters with 41% saying they will vote Yes, 20% No and 36% undecided.
Labour Party have the most undecideds and is behind Fine Gael and Fianna Fail in terms of voters who will back the treaty. 33% in favour of the treaty, 17% against and 46% undecided.
The No vote have the strongest support from Sinn Fein supporters and supporters of small parties and independents with 48% intending to vote No, 12% Yes and 33% undecided.
Munster has the highest Yes vote and Connacht-Ulster the most against. Dublin is neck and neck between the two sides meaning that the treaty could be won or lost in Dublin.
This campaign is going to be a massive task in convincing the undecideds and neither side can be complacent on their support. With the polling Day on a Thursday it will be a case of trying to get out as many voters as possible.
- Pollwatch: Sunday Business Post/Red C 25th March 2012 (stephenspillane.com)
- Undecided voters hold key to outcome of referendum (Irish Times)
- A warning to the Yes campaign (Irish Times)
- Campaigners who convince undecided voters will win referendum (Irish Times)
- That latest Red C Poll (cedarlounge.wordpress.com)
- Fiscal Treaty Referendum Poll Result… (cedarlounge.wordpress.com)
- Fiscal Treaty Referendum: Thursday May 31st (stephenspillane.com)