- Yes: 53% (+6)
- No: 31% (-4)
- Don’t Know: 16% (-2)
When you exclude the Don’t Know yes side lead 63% to 37%. This shows the strength of the Yes side before the entry of Declan Ganley to the debate so it will be interesting to see if his contribution makes any difference.
In terms of party support the only major statistical movement is drop below 30%. The party support is as follows:
- Fine Gael 29% (-3)
- Labour 13% (-1)
- Sinn Fein 21% (+1)
- Fianna Fail 19% (+2)
- Others 18% (nc)
Fianna Fail, who have been in the news a lot lately thanks to Eamonn O Cuiv, seems to have gotten a bit of a bounce from that. Sinn Fein remains the second most popular party in Ireland, but I still believe transfers will still be hard to come by for them.
The Government Parties have seen a drop in support which is probably due to the treaty campaign as much criticism has been laid at how the country is being run.
But over all, the movement is all within the margin of error, but trends are starting to set in.
- Pollwatch: Sunday Times/Behaviour and Attitudes April 22nd (stephenspillane.com)
- Pollwatch: Sunday Business Post/Red C April 29th (stephenspillane.com)
- Pollwatch: Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI 20th April (stephenspillane.com)
- Pollwatch: Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI April 19th (stephenspillane.com)
- Encouraging polls for the “Yes” Campaign (stephenspillane.com)
- #EUREF: Sentiment swings towards a Yes vote (whilst FF and SF consolidate)… (sluggerotoole.com)
- Pollwatch: Sunday Business Post/Red C 25th March 2012 (stephenspillane.com)
- RedC Poll, May 13 (cedarlounge.wordpress.com)