As we are quickly approaching a General Election in the Republic and like with recent elections I will be listing the candidates standing for election across Cork City and County. This post will be updated as candidates announce their intentions
Now comes the turn of my home Constituency of Cork South Central. In 2016 the following were elected:
Michael McGrath – Fianna Fail
Micheal Martin – Fianna Fail
Simon Coveney – Fine Gael
Donnchadh O’Laoghaire – Sinn Fein
There has been no changes since the election and all four sitting TD’s will be running again. It remains a four seat constituency.
Announced Candidates *Denotes Sitting TD
Updated 16th Jan
Lorna Bogue – Green Party
Jerry Buttimer – Fine Gael
Simon Coveney – Fine Gael*
Anna Daly – Aontu
Ciara Kennedy – Labour
Micheal Martin – Fianna Fail*
Michael McGrath – Fianna Fail*
Bobby Murray Walsh – People Before Profit
Patricia O’Dwyer – Social Democrats
Donnchadh O’Laoghaire – Sinn Fein*
In past elections some high profile independents have run in Cork South Central and as the are announced they will be added to the list.
Its all over. The candidates can lie in this morning as its now the turn of the political hacks who all across the country will be turning up to the count centres across the 43 constituencies to start tallying the Presidential Election.
The boxes will be opened at 9am when the votes will be sorted and tallied. Then the Votes for the presidential election will be sorted. Once sorted the votes will be counted and the result sent to Dublin. We wont have a first count result until all constituencies have reported. We then move on to the second count etc until a President is elected.
Once we have a President elected, the attention will then turn to the referendums. I am assuming they will do in numerical order with the 29th Amendment on Judges Pay (#JPREF) first followed by the 30th Amendment on Oireachtas Investigations (#OIREF).
After the referendum results have been announced the count in the Dublin West by-election will get under way and bring the counting to a close.
I myself will be in the Concert Hall in Cork City Hall helping out with the tallying in Cork South Central (#CSC) and Cork North Central (#CNC).
So that last week of the flew by and before I knew it I was voting an tallying the results! I had a very long weekend awaiting results, but for a change in a national election, the results had me and others shocked. We knew Fine Gael were going to do well, but we didnt think we were going to do *this* well.
It was amazing to see Fine Gael Candidates who I had met over the years topping the poll and others coming in closely with their team to show that Fine Gael really can manage the vote.
In Cork South Central I was delighted that Simon Coveney and Jerry Buttimer were elected to the 31st Dáil. I was disappointed that Deirdre Clune lost her seat, but we also knew that Michael McGrath of Fianna Fail was going to be a hard candidate to beat.
We have no time to rest on our laurels. Fianna Fail are going to be fighting back and we need to be ready for them for when the local elections come around in 2014.
So tonight its all about the preparation for the tally tomorrow. I have to be in the concert hall in Cork City Hall. I shall be doing the tally for Cork South Central but Cork North Central will be counted in the same hall. I will be trying to keep people updated on both counts on twitter. Keep an eye on the #tags #CNC and #CSC
I have finished another week on the door steps and this week saw me canvassing for Jerry Buttimer and Deridre Clune.
On Monday we were out canvassing in Ballinlough for Jerry Buttimer and we got a good response. I got my first local issue on the door that night. Someone was giving out about City Council and the pothole outside their house. This was no ordinary pothole though! It was huge! So she had to complain! Thankfully Enda had decided to turn up to the debate on Monday so there was no questioning like the last time.
On Tuesday I was out in Ballinlough, again out canvassing for Jerry. This was the day that the Irish Language Policy really became an issue on the doors. I only got it the once, and I managed to canvass that vote as Gaeilge! I was very proud of myself! Enda’s debate performance was raised and it certainly impressed people.
Yesterday was my longest day of canvassing yet. It started with being collected at 7:45am by Jerry to canvass early morning traffic! This is a hard canvass as it can be difficult to interact with people, but people were receptive and will to take the literature.
After a coffee break we were down in Mahon at lunch time. It was a hit and miss area as a lot of homes were empty with the time of day and all that. But people were quite open to being engaged with. After another coffee break in Mahon Community Centre we headed out to Douglas to do a few estates. At this point I was drenched to the bone and my knee was acting up. I did canvass a number of houses, and got a good response, (limping always brings out the sympathy!) by the end of the canvass I was told to stay in the car cause I was in too much pain!
After going home and drying and dosing myself I headed out again (glutton for punishment I am!) This time to Donnybrook with Deirdre Clune. We got an amazing response and quite a number of people wanted to engage with us. Which is good. There was questions on one-party government, jobs, public sector, tax, education and student nurses. A really interesting canvass. I finally finished canvassing at 9pm! Thats makes it at about 13 hours of canvassing! Not to be done in rain I will advise! I have at least 2 more full days planned next week! Its going to be a long week!
Tomorrow is the last week of canvassing and it will be a case of canvassing up until the last moment. So dont be surprised if there is no update until election day! and remember be nice to canvassers!
The Irish Examiner commissioned a phone survey of 500 voters in Cork South Central. The results are as follows:
Simon Coveney (FG) 19%;
Micheál Martin (FF) 18%;
Ciarán Lynch (Lab) 14%;
Michael McGrath (FF) 9%;
Jerry Buttimer (FG) 9%;
Deirdre Clune (FG) 8%;
Chris O’Leary (SF) 8%;
Paula Desmond (Lab) 5%;
Michael Finn (Ind) 5%;
Dan Boyle (GP) 3%;
David McCarthy (Ind) on 2%
A transfer analysis was also done and it shows that the following would be elected:
Simon Coveny (FG)
Micheal Martin (FF)
Ciaran Lynch (Lab)
Deridre Clune (FG)
Jerry Buttimer (FG)
Its an interesting result, but I wonder will it pan out that way on friday week?
If Fine Gael are to have a hope of one party government they will need three seats here in Cork South Central. But the last seat will go down to fight, it will be neck and neck between Buttimer or Clune and McGrath, perhaps with the last two candidates being elected without reaching the quota? I have a feeling we will be in for a long count in Cork South Central.
Another week and another poll. Tomorrow sees a poll in the Irish Independent my Milward Brown. It has topline figures as follows:
Fine Gael 38 (+8)
Fianna Fail 12 (-4)
Labour 23 (-1)
Sinn Fein 10 (-3)
Others 16 (-1)
This further cements the lead taken by Fine Gael in the polls. It is also further bad news for Fianna Fail who are really beginning to hit rock bottom. Well they hope they are! The greens have really become an irrelevance in this election as with 1% they would be lucky if they were in the toss up for any seat.
Using these polling figures Adrian Kavanagh has calculated the seats as follows:
Fianna Fail 13,
Fine Gael 78,
Green Party 0,
Sinn Fein 13,
Around 10 left leaning independents and 10 right leaning independents would be elected. If things keep building behind Fine Gael it could definately be looking at one party government.
The poll of polls stands at:
Fianna Fail 15.5
Fine Gael 35
Sinn Fein 12
Still a lot to play for in the last week..
In other poll news I am told a Cork South Central poll will be in the Examiner tomorrow. And also there was a Evening Herald for Dublin this evening which had the following figures:
This week I have been sharing my time with the three Fine Gael candidates in Cork South Central. I find that is the best and easiest thing to do. It also broadens your canvassing experience!
So on Monday I was out with Deirdre Clune. We were canvassing in Donnybrook in Douglas. I was paired with Fiona and it seemed that we got every nice person in the estate! We had lovely chats with people who wanted to talk about disability, social welfare and of course the leadership of Fine Gael, which is a bit of a recurring issue!
There was one house with a bunch of lads and we ended up talking to a few of them and one of the was a Fine Gaeler from Wexford! So all in all a good canvass with a good response and again, people seemed more interested in national issues. That as I have said previously is a good thing in my book.
On Tuesday, after we finally found out when the election would actually be held, I went canvassing with Jerry Buttimer in Turners Cross. Here I was invited into a house for the first time! (yes, it was someone I knew but still!) The reaction was very positive towards change.. I would hate to have been a Fianna Failer knocking on any of those doors. Again the issues that came up were national issues. Higher Education funding and Social Welfare policy was brought up on doors and people were genuinely interested in the policies that Fine Gael had. I must say I am enjoying this campaign!
On Wednesday I went out with Simon Coveney in Ballyphehane. This is an area I knew well as it is where I went to school and have plenty of friends living in the area. It was also a fairly well established area. Again I noticed it was mainly national issues with the Economy being the major issue. Another thing I noticed was the number of people who did not know who they were going to vote for. This was extremely true of elderly people who said they would have normally voted for Fianna Fáil and now don’t know who to vote for. Its going to be interesting to see if they will change their votes on election day.
So all in all 3 nights which were very interesting and I didnt mix up candidate names too often! I am off to Paris now for the weekend so I won’t be on the canvass trail until next Tuesday.
During the Local and European Elections back in 2009 I tried to keep a bit of Canvass Diary to chart the mood and feelings and experiences on the Canvass Trial. For the upcoming General Election I plan to try and post about what is happening on the ground, where ever I end up canvassing!
So my General Election campaign started today with a canvass for Senator Jerry Buttimer in Cork South Central. We started in an estate in Grange which is the Carrigaline Electoral District.
The first thing I noticed tonight, is that the following is required by anyone going to canvass in this weather;
gloves (preferable fingerless, for seperating leaflets, taken notes and knocking on doors)
Then you may stay warm! That or you end up doing jumping jacks as you wait for the candidate to catch up.
So how was the canvass? Well I was surprised we didn’t get a lot of “your starting earlier” comments. A lot of people were glad we weren’t Fianna Fail, others didn’t want to deal with any politicians.
The mood in general was fairly pro-change. Whether that will translate to Fine Gael votes or votes for other parties is the part that is hard to tell.
Personally, I was heartened by the response on the doors. People are annoyed and upset over the government and the bailout, but they are optimistic. They can see us getting out of this, and I hope that they are right.
Lets see how this pans out during the rest of the campaign. In the meantime I am off to defrost my fingers and warm up in general! I am not looking forward to canvassing in the snow if it gets that bad!!