Senator David Norris this evening secured his fourth and final nomination to contest the Irish Presidential Election.
Dublin City Council joined Fingal County Council, Laois County Council and Waterford City Council and gave a nomination to the Senator.
Senator Norris took the longest to get a nomination due to withdrawing earlier in the race and then re-entering. How this will pan out during the campaign will be interesting.
He along with Dana Rosemary Scallon both secured their nominations from councils and join independents Mary Davis and Sean Gallagher, Michael D Higgins of Labour, Gay Mitchell of Fine Gael and Martin McGuinness of Sinn Fein on the ballot
This brings the official number of candidates to seven. The campaign officially gets under way at midday tomorrow.
It has been an interesting day in terms of council nominations for the Presidential Election and it looks like this could drag out until Wednesday morning!
Senator Norris started off well by receiving the nomination from Laois County Council, but then things started going downhill.
Carlow County Council ended up being tied between Senator David Norris and Dana Rosemary Scallon. The vote then came down to the casting vote of the Chair who voted for Dana. That was Dana’s first nomination of the campaign.
Following that Roscommon County Council voted to nominated Dana, as expected. Bringing her total to 2, bringing her level with Norris.
Limerick County Council was the next council to vote and only one motion was before that council and that was to nominate Mary Davis. The council passed that nomination meaning that Ms Davis has 13 councils nominations. (and no Sean Gallagher she can’t hand them back)
The last meeting of the day was South Dublin County Council who were expected to back Senator Norris. This though didn’t work out as planned as he lost the vote by one vote. Meaning that by the end of the day he only had gained one nomination.
With 8 councils left to meet before the nomination, both Norris and Dana will make it to the Ballot paper, but it may come down to Kilkenny on Wednesday.
After a meeting last night with supporters Mattie McGrath TD has decided not to sign the nomination papers for Senator David Norris, this means that focus until Wednesday midday will focus on the 12 councils meeting this week.
Note: Information on days of meeting and motions before them are from the fabulous plaintalking.ie blog by Andrea Pappin
Four councils are meeting today. Laois County Council and South Dublin County Council will be meeting to discuss motions supporting Senator Norris. Sen Norris himself is expected to address Laois County Council.
Carlow County Council and Roscommon County Council will meet and both have motions nominating both Senator Norris and Dana Rosemary Scallon, the only candidate who has yet to receive a nomination.
Seven Councils are meeting on Tuesday meaning that it could all be over nomination wise by the end of the day. Four councils will be meeting to discuss nominating Dana. They are Donegal County Council, Longford County Council, Cavan County Council and Westmeath County Council.
A further two councils will meet to discuss nominating Senator Norris they are Dublin City Council and Cork County Council.
Waterford City Council will meet to discuss nominations for both candidates, meaning they could provide the last nomination should one of the candidates fall short.
On Wednesday the nominations close at midday and the most talked about Council meeting will happen. Kilkenny County Council have convened a meeting at 8:30am and have organised a special Garda Escort to ensure that if any candidate is short of nomination it could be provided by them. Will it come down to Kilkenny is the interesting question though.
I hope the County Councillors enjoy their time in limelight! It won’t happen again for another possible seven years!
The Sunday Business Post has two polls for us about the Irish Presidential Election. It has one poll with the 5 nominated candidates so far and one poll with the 7 candidates who will most likely be on the ballot on October 27th.
In the 5 Candidate poll the 1st preference vote would look as follows:
Higgins, Michael D (Lab) 27%
McGuinness, Martin (SF) 20%
Davis, Mary (Ind) 20%
Mitchell, Gay (FG) 15%
Gallagher, Sean (Ind) 15%
This poll is interesting as it has Davis level with McGuinness, but with Sinn Fein being transfer toxic, Davis could be the one to make it to the final count with Higgins.
In the 7 candidate the poll, the first preferences are as follows:
Norris, David (Ind) 21%
Higgins, Michael D (Ind) 18%
McGuinness, Martin (SF) 16%
Davis, Mary (Ind) 13%
Mitchell, Gay (FG) 13%
Gallagher, Sean (Ind) 11%
Scanlon, Dana Rosemary (Ind) 6%
When Senator Norris is added in to the poll he takes a margin of error lead over Higgins. Davis falls back to tie with Fine Gael’s Mitchell who does not seem to be making much of an impact in the campaign.
Of course with this many candidates in the race it will all come down to transfers. With this looking like the first Presidential Election to go further then two counts, where the transfers go will be what is important. RED C have polled this and the results are interesting.
Norris, David (Ind) 6%
Higgins, Michael D (Ind) 20%
McGuinness, Martin (SF) 8%
Davis, Mary (Ind) 16%
Mitchell, Gay (FG) 14%
Gallagher, Sean (Ind) 14%
Scanlon, Dana Rosemary (Ind) 7%
This is where the campaign for Norris falls down as he comes last in terms of 2nd preferences where he is beaten by McGuinness and Dana. This would spell disaster as both Higgins and Davis could easily gain enough transfers to leapfrog him and leave it as a two horse race. Unless Norris can get a larger lead, he may win the first count but ultimately lose the election. The beauty of the Irish Electoral System?
With less then seven days to the close of nominations for the Irish Presidential Election. Senator David Norris has 17 nominations from Oireachtas members but he is going to find it very hard to get the final three signatures.
The 17 Oireachtas members who have nominted are as follows:
Stephen Donnelly TD
Catherine Murphy TD
Maureen O’Sullivan TD
Mick Wallace TD
Joan Collins TD
Joe Higgins TD
Clare Daly TD
John Halligan TD
Richard Boyd Barrett TD
Senator Katherine Zappone,
Senator Mary Louise O’Donnell,
Senator Mary Ann O’Brien,
Senator John Crown,
Senator Fiach Mac Conghail,
Senator Eamonn Coghlan
Senator David Norris
Thomas Pringle TD and Seamus Healy TD have both confirmed that they will not be nominating Senator Norris. This leaves Shane Ross TD, Mattie McGrath TD (who had said he would nominate Dana), Micheal Lowry TD and Senator Michael Lowry. It is highly unlikely that he would manage to get signatures from three of these, but I am sure he will be trying very hard.
This leaves the Senator with the final option of getting a council nomination. Having received a nomination from Fingal County Council on Tuesday. It is expected that he would receive the support of Laois County Council and South Dublin County Council.
Dana Rosemary Scanlon is also on the hunt for a council nominations and his expected to receive the support of Roscommon, Longford and Donegal County Council.
Waterford City Council, Kilkenny Council and Carlow County Council are also due to meet before the close of nominations. Its going to be an interesting week!