It’s Clinton or Bust

Hillary_for_America_2016_logo.svgIts nearing the end April and with the last nominating contest of the Democratic Presidential on June 14th in Washington DC, there is only 1,594 pledged delegates left up for grabs Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has solidified her lead in her contest against Bernie Sanders. She has a lead now that is near insurmountable for Sanders to take over.

The target of 2,383 delegates is the key for the two campaigns and with Clinton only 459 delegates away from that target including Super Delegates it is almost certainly in the bag.

Bernie_Sanders_2016_logoFor Sanders now to take the lead it would take a gargantuan effort to win big and win hard in a contest where he hasn’t had any big wins. To win the nomination Sanders would have to win the following states with large margins over Clinton according to a FiveThirtyEight update

Continue reading “It’s Clinton or Bust”

The Count 2011!


DUBLIN, IRELAND - OCTOBER 03:  An election wor...
Image by Getty Images via @daylife

Its all over. The candidates can lie in this morning as its now the turn of the political hacks who all across the country will be turning up to the count centres across the 43 constituencies to start tallying the Presidential Election.

The boxes will be opened at 9am when the votes will be sorted and tallied. Then the Votes for the presidential election will be sorted. Once sorted the votes will be counted and the result sent to Dublin. We wont have a first count result until all constituencies have reported. We then move on to the second count etc until a President is elected.

Once we have a President elected, the attention will then turn to the referendums. I am assuming they will do in numerical order with the 29th Amendment on Judges Pay (#JPREF) first followed by the 30th Amendment on Oireachtas Investigations (#OIREF).

After the referendum results have been announced the count in the Dublin West by-election will get under way and bring the counting to a close.

I myself will be in the Concert Hall in Cork City Hall helping out with the tallying in Cork South Central (#CSC) and Cork North Central (#CNC).

I will be posting updates on twitter! So keep an eye on the #aras11 and find your constituency tag here

I didn’t realise how much of an idiot Biden actualy is until now!

So every one has heard that Joe Biden, the Democratic VP nominee is a little gaffe prone but after reading Ann Coulters review of the debate he is more then prone! if Palin had made basic mistakes like this, people would be calling for her head! A few examples:

About Lebanon:

“I said and Barack said, ‘Move NATO forces in there. Fill the vacuum, because if you don’t, Hezbollah will control it.'” This is madness — Lebanon is not a NATO country, nor had any NATO country been attacked by Lebanon.

About Afghanistan:

“With Afghanistan, facts matter, Gwen. … We spend more money in three weeks on combat in Iraq than we spent on the entirety of the last seven years that we have been in Afghanistan building that country.”

According to the Congressional Research Service, since 9/11, we’ve spent $172 billion in Afghanistan and $653 billion in Iraq. The most money spent in Iraq came in 2008, when we have been spending less than $3 billion a week. So by Biden’s calculations, we’ve spent only about $9 billion “on the entirety of the last seven years that we have been in Afghanistan building that country.” There isn’t even a “9” in $172 billion.

About the Office of the Vice President:

Biden also gave a long speech at the debate on vice president Dick Cheney’s “dangerous” belief that “he’s part of the legislative branch.” The great constitutional scholar Biden cited Article I of the Constitution as proof that Cheney “works in the executive branch” and has “no authority relative to the Congress.” Biden huffily added: “He should understand that. Everyone should understand that.”

Palin would have had to deny that Alaska is a state in the union in order to say something comparably stupid.

Article II, not I, describes the executive branch. Someone tell Biden, who is supposed to be a lawyer. Apart from getting the Articles of the Constitution mixed up, what on earth does Biden mean when he says that the vice president “has no authority relative to Congress,” apart from breaking ties?

The Constitution makes him president of the senate every day of the week. I realize that Biden may not be able to count to two, but Article I says the vice president is president of one of the two houses of Congress — the one Biden is in, for crying out loud — which is what you might call “authority relative to Congress.”

Please let someone have sense in the mainstream media and start pointing these stupid gaffes out!

Full Article

Palin takes her gloves off

Finally the Sarah Palin shows how she got the name “Sarah Baracuda”.

Democrats are accusing the Republicans of using “swift boat tactics” but this is a presidential campaign which always gets personal! Voters have to know if the candidate is fit for office and someone who was “palling around with terrorists” is sure as hell not.

‘Why Gay Americans Should Vote for John McCain’

Daniel (GayPatriotWest) from has written an excellent article for on why Gay Americans Should vote republican. Well worth the read.

In the article Daniel writes somethings in relation to the Employment Non-Discrimination Act (ENDA) and expanding federal Hate Crimes laws, that strikes me as the core of “gay conservatism”

If we keep turning to the state to address our problems or to pass legislation that will make us feel better about ourselves because the government cares, we’ll focus less on improving our own communities and promoting change at the local level.

Do read the article!

Who else is running?

A recent post on Once More, With Punctuation reminded me that there is more then two candidates for the Presidential Election in the US (and the VP). In fact there are another 13*! So lets take a look at them.

Boston Tea Party(Wiki Link):
Presidential Candidate: Charles Jay – Former boxing manager and spokesman, from Florida. Jay was selected as the nominee of the Boston Tea Party at its online Convention held June 15-16, 2008. He was the 2004 Presidential nominee of the Personal Choice Party, who has endorsed him this year.
VP Candidate: Thomas L. Knapp – Blogger, political activist, of Missouri. He is also running for Congress as a Libertarian.

Constitution Party (Wiki Link):
Presidential Candidate: Chuck Baldwin – Pastor, conservative political activist, and Constitution Party 2004 Vice Presidential nominee, from Florida. Nominated by the Constitution Party at its 2008 National Convention on April 26, 2008.
VP Candidate: Darrell Castle – National Vice-Chair of the Constitution Party. Attorney, political activist and former Marine Corps Lieutenant from Tennessee.

Green Party (Wiki Link):
Presidential Candidate: Cynthia McKinney – Former Congresswoman from Georgia (1993-2003, 2005-2007). McKinney clinched the Green Party nomination on July 12, 2008 at its 2008 National Convention in Chicago, IL. McKinney also received the endorsement of the Workers World Party in July.
VP Candidate: Rosa Clemente – Commentator, political activist, community organizer and independent reporter from New York. Clemente has been delivering workshops, presentations and commentary for over ten years.

Libertarian Party (Wiki Link):
Presidential Candidate: Bob Barr – Former Congressman and U.S. Attorney from Georgia. Barr won the nomination of the Libertarian Party on May 25, 2008 at its 2008 National Convention, in Denver, Colorado.
VP Candidate: Wayne Allyn Root – Sports handicapper, businessman, author, and TV show host from Nevada. Root also ran for the party’s 2008 presidential nomination.

New American Independent Party (Wiki Link):
Presidential Candidate: Frank McEnulty – President & Chief Financial Officer of Our Castle Homes from California. McEnulty won the New American Independent Party nomination in March 2008. He has not yet announced his running mate. He is simultaneously running as the vice-presidential nominee of the Reform Party in states where the NAIP is unable to obtain ballot status.

Party for Socialism and Liberation
(Wiki Link):
Presidential Candidate: Gloria La Riva – Socialist, long-time anti-war and immigrant rights activist, from California. The Party for Socialism and Liberation announced the La Riva “People Over Profits” campaign on January 17, 2008. La Riva received the nomination of the Peace & Freedom Party in gubernatorial races in 1994 and 1998.
VP Candidate: Eugene Puryear – Anti-war activist, social justice organizer, and Party for Socialism and Liberation National Committee member, from Washington, D.C.

Prohibition Party (Wiki Link):
Presidential Candidate: Gene Amondson – Temperance lecturer, minister, artist, and 2004 Presidential Nominee. Nominated at the Prohibition Party National Convention held in Indianapolis, Indiana, September 14, 2007.
VP Candidate: Leroy Pletten – Temperance movement activist from Michigan.

Reform Party (Wiki Link):
Presidential Candidate: Ted Weill – Businessman, from Mississippi. Weill received the nomination of the Reform Party at its National Convention in Dallas, Texas on July 20, 2008.
VP Candidate: Frank McEnulty – Businessman, from California. Also running as the the Presidential nominee of the New American Independent Party in the states where the Reform Party is unable to obtain ballot access.

Socialist Party USA (Wiki Link):
Presidential Candidate: Brian Moore – Antiwar activist, independent (Green Party endorsed) candidate for U.S. Senate in Florida in 2006. Moore received the Socialist Party USA’s presidential nomination at its National Convention in St. Louis, Missouri on October 20, 2007.
VP Candidate: Stewart Alexander – Political activist and former Los Angeles mayoral candidate from California.

Socialist Workers Party (Wiki Link):
Presidential Candidate: Róger Calero – Socialist Workers Party candidate for President of the United States in 2004 and 2008, and for the United States Senate in New York in 2006.
VP Candidate: Alyson Kennedy – Labourer and political activist from New Jersey.


#Alan Keyes – Former Ambassador in the Ronald Reagan administration. Unsuccessfully sought the nominations of the Republican Party and the Constitution Party before beginning a campaign as an independent. Brian Rohrbough from Colorado is Keyes’ running mate.

#Ralph Nader – Consumer advocate, Write-in candidate in 1992, Green Party presidential nominee in 1996 and 2000, and 2004 independent presidential candidate. Announced candidacy February 24, 2008 on NBC’s Meet the Press. Matt Gonzalez from San Francisco is Nader’s running mate.

# Kelcey Wilson – Transparency advocate. Announced candidacy February 19, 2007, on his blog

This might be the only times you see these names on this blog, well apart from Nadar maybe, so enjoy it!

*Note that is the number of candidates registered with the Federal Election Commission for a presidential campaign

Excellent one liner from Hillary

Hillary on Dick Cheney and Diplomacy