I haven’t yet blogged about the general election in the UK. For me this has been one of the most interesting ones to watch. The rise of Liberal Democrats is amazing to see, and the polls are all over the place. The only thing for certain is that Labour will not win the popular vote.
That is where watching UK elections get boring. No matter haw much you play with swing calculators and polls the Lib Dems even if they win the popular vote, will not be forming the next government. They may form part of it, or support the next government through some sort of pact, but it will not be what they want.
Of course this puts the Lib Dems in the best position to ask for and get electoral reform. Labour are willing to give the Alternative Vote, but the Liberal Democrats want PRSTV like here in Ireland. Now how exciting would UK elections be then?
The Conservatives are holding there own in this election, but of course the rise of the Lib Dems has caught everyone. No one was prepared for that. They are down slightly in the polls, but still are in the lead.
The night of May 6th is going to be a very interesting night. There will be heads rolling from the cabinet on a good day for Labour. The Brown campaign isn’t going well, but good campaigning by good candidates will see them do well.
One of the seats I will be watching will be Brighton Pavillion as there the Green Party has one of its best chances to take a seat. Another one to watch will be Norwich North. I will of course be also hoping that Barking doesn’t go to the BNP.
This election could mark a change in UK Politics, for that reason alone I will be up all night on May 6th!
Two recent events should be highlighted to any politician thinking of using twitter to further their electoral prospects. These two stories do serve as maybe a warning, before the commit.
Case 1: Dale v McCarthy.
This case surrounds allegations made by the Hon. Kerry McCarthy, MP for Bristol East, about the political magazine Total Politics, which is run by tory supporting blogger Iain Dale. I shall leave it to each of them to tell their story.
As you can see, politicians have to be careful with what they say and do online! Is one over reacting? Or are both responses justified? You be the jury.
Case 2: Limburg v Schüneman
This case from the Lower Saxon State Parliament. After a debate on Aslyum Seekers, Green MP Helge Limburg called Lower Saxony’s state Interior Minister Uwe Schünemann (CDU) an “insufferable agitator” who was “shamelessly on the right-wing fringe.” (Full Story)
This when it came to light in the Lower Saxon Parliament caused uproar and discussions over the budget had to be postponed.
Is that what twitter should be used for?
So its over to you, after these anticas would you recommend that politicans use twitter?
ConservativeHome have a rough outline of the new Conservative Party policy towards the EU. While they will not look for the “unratification” of the Lisbon Treaty, they will seek to renegotiate the UK’s ties with the EU.
To be honest any renegotiation of ties will be a loss of influence for the UK. As areas that they opt-out on they cannot influence and they might have to go along with somethings due to access of the single market whether they want to or not.
Also if they do renegotiate then any future appointments of high powered posts could not be British, currently the UK have possibities for the two highest poistions. In two and half years they would have very little chance of getting anything that is availible.
The one thing this policy will do though, is keep the Conservatives united. A referendum on Europe or Lisbon could have split the Conservatives. This is the safest option availible to Cameron should he want to stay Prime Minister for a bit!
I put a post up on think about it website about the European Elections in Northern Ireland. To me, Northern Ireland is going to be one of the interesting constituencies in Ireland and UK where recent events and changes to parties and the split to the Unionist vote. Its all going to ve very interesting!
Something that seems to have escaped mention on this blog is the change that could come about in Northern Ireland during the European Elections this year. Northern Ireland is the only part of the United Kingdom that does not use the D’Hondt method of PR. Instead it uses the Single Transferable Vote (STV) electoral system.
Image via WikipediaThe Conservative Party in the UK have launched a new Advertising campaign on “Labour’s Debt Crisis”. According to the Conservatives Shadow Chancellor each child born in Britain will owe £17,000. I must say it is a fantastic campaign. It really hits the point on UK Debt. I agree with John over on Semper-Idem that FG need to be developing campaigns like this. The Budget campaign that they did before Christmas is something that could easily be further developed into this. Anyway check out the videos below.
I read about this in the Observer (Guardian on a Sunday) and think it is an excellent idea. Basically Owen Powell and Alex Horne are trying to meet people from all 192 countries in the world in London!And they’ve nearly done it! Their blog is fantastic detailing all the meetings they have with people from different countries. Their deadline is the 24th of October, so it will be interesting to see if they make it!
Wow, two days of blog posts, I’m back as a serious blogger!!! 😀
But anyway back to the title. Gordon Brown, has said ‘no’ to an election. Was that a good decision?
Due to the comments of the ‘young turks’, Balls et al, saying Labour where on a election footing and that. This draw back from the brink could have long term damage for Brown and Labour in general as it did for O’Callaghan. The Tories will definitely gain from this as they said ‘Bring it on’. David Cameron is on the up and up.
Now if an election had been called, it would not have benefited the Lib Dems, as they are being squeezed by the two major parties and to top it off, they have gotten rid of their leader after 18 months!!! Sir Ming was an excellent leader for the Lib Dems, and its internal bickering like this that turn people off the Lib Dems. I myself am thinking of switching to the Tories. Then again I’m not an dedicated Lib Dem supporter, but I thought they were fresh and interesting compared to Labour and the Tories. But DC has changed the Conservative Party, it is now fresh and interesting, and is certainly winning people over no matter what the polls say.
At the end of the Day the ‘honeymoon’ is over for Brown, he needs to set out a good set of proposals in the Queens Speech at the State Opening of Parliament on the 6th of November. Its a Tuesday so hopefully I will be watching it and will blog about it.
The UK are to make an announcement on withdrawal of troops from Iraq (RTÉ) It is thought likely that Mr Blair will make any announcement in an oral statement to the House of Commons following his regular weekly appearance at Prime Minister’s Questions. I hope he does pull ’em out
At 5:00pm this evening the Seanad will debate the Mental Capacity and Guardianship Bill 2007, please if you know a senator ask them to vote for it.
The Civil Unions Bill 2006 also goes to a vote this evening after the continuation of the debate at 7:00p, tonight.
Trocaire has launched an online neworking site called ‘Just World’